Donald Trump told Time deportations could be "probably 15 million and maybe as many as 20 million"

New polling indicates that independent voters have turned sharply against U.S. immigration enforcement, a shift that could affect Republicans in the closely divided midterm elections. The YouGov survey, conducted for the Vera Institute of Justice in late July, found roughly eight in ten independents described immigration agents' actions as overly aggressive, and an AP-NORC poll taken after the shootings put independent approval of ICE at 18%. The surveys followed two fatal shootings of immigrants by agents in Texas and Maine within six days. The findings could complicate Republican reliance on President Donald Trump's immigration record, including his 2024 election-year statement to Time envisioning deportations in the tens of millions. While border crossings have fallen, enforcement controversies have energized critics.